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For next week's market, my point of view remains unchanged. This is only a small high point, so I will not say the reason for today's fall. Originally, I have been watching that there is a high probability of taking the initiative to step back and bounce, so I will focus on the following issues:I'm a trend trader, not a pure value investor, but I've seen countless junk stocks rise from high-rise buildings for so many years, and the final result is that buildings collapse without exception. So even if junk stocks are in the sky and the trend is beautiful, I dare not go up. This is not to make excuses for yourself, but to sum up the bloody experience after paying enough tuition in these 20 years!

Finally, to sum up my point of view, there is a high probability that the market will bottom out next week, and the strong support below is near the short-term trend line. Today's plunge is mainly due to yesterday's lure to pull the space too high, so today's retracement is a bit large. However, the follow-up also lacks the basis for a sustained plunge. At least today, this 28-month resonant crash is difficult to continue. The next big probability is that the 28-month market is dominant, so pay attention to the rhythm.First of all, let's see if there will be a RRR cut or interest rate cut next weekend. Let's put it this way, it began to blow down the RRR in the middle and late November. Unfortunately, after the MLF parity was reduced and the local debt was issued, although the market liquidity was abundant, they all went to the national debt to hedge. A shares have not only failed to increase funds, but have become blood transfusion packages, which is the biggest reality.Secondly, there is something wrong with such an increase in consumption, and junk stocks have gone to heaven. Let me give you a simple example. Recently, traditional consumption has soared, but you can see how the CPI data in November is, which is why the organization is not moving. Another point is that consumer ETFs have basically not followed, how can I put it? The tickets selected and optimized by institutions are not moving, and the hot money has speculated the tickets that institutions do not participate in.

This is what I said on Wednesday, not today. If you are interested, you can turn to the previous article. I am not a person who has gone up without thinking and boasted too much, but has gone down without thinking and being bearish. My analysis is based on technology, but unfortunately many people don't recognize it. But at least in my place, the timing effect of technical analysis is very good, which is enough.A-shares: the gold content of small highs is improving. Will the stock market get worse next week?